Saturday, September 09, 2006

UGA Running Backs - Week 2

The 6-20-28 Quandry

For explanation as to what I'm doing, check last week's College Football roundup. I'll designate any runs with less than 7:30 left in the 4th quarter and a two score lead with (late clock runs).

Kregg Lumpkin -
9 yards on 1st & 10
5 yards on 2nd & 1
6 yards on 1st & 10
2 yards on 2nd & 5
2 yards on 1st & 10
(late clock runs) 2 yards on 1st & 15
4 yards on 2nd & 13
6 yards on 3rd & 9


8 rushes for 36 yards. No negative runs yet again for Lump. 32/73 needed yards, good for 43.8%. However, take away those 4th quarter time killing runs, and it goes to 20/36, a 55.6%.

Danny Ware -
3 yards on 1st & 10
2 yards on 1st & 10
16 yards on 2nd & 10
6 yards on 1st & 10
7 yards on 2nd & 4
0 yards on 1st & GL (9)
9 yards on 3rd & GL (9) (TD)
-1 yards on 2nd & 7
1 yard on 2nd & 3

9 carries for 43 yards. He got 34/72 needed yards, a 47.2%. Danny didn't have any meaningless 4th Qtr carries, so this number is pretty accurate.

Thomas Brown:
3 yards on 2nd & 8
0 yards on 1st & 10
11 yards on 1st & 10
5 yards on 1st & 10
2 yards on 1st & 10
-2 yards on 1st & GL (2)
8 yards on 1st & 10
-1 yard on 1st & 10
3 yards on 2nd & 11
4 yards on 1st & 10
3 yards on 2nd & 6
13 yards on 2nd & 10
7 yards on 1st & 10
(late clock runs) 3 yards on 1st & 10
1 yard on 2nd & 7
9 yards on 3rd & 6

16 carries for 69 yards. He got 62/140 needed yards. That's 44.3%. Take out his 4th quarter time killers and it's 49/117, or 41.9%.

So, for this game, on runs that really mattered, here's how much of the needed yardage each back accumulated:
Kregg Lumpkin - 55.6%
Danny Ware - 47.2%
Thomas Brown - 41.9%

For the season, after two games, here are the raw rushing totals for all the backs:
Thomas Brown: 26 carries for 96 yards.
Danny Ware: 15 carries for 111 yards.
Kregg Lumpkin:13 carries for 62 yards.

Stuffed (runs of 2 yards or less):
Thomas Brown: 8
Danny Ware: 4
Kregg Lumpkin:3

Yards Gained/Yards Needed:
Thomas Brown: 73/199... 36.7% of needed yards
Danny Ware: 58/119... 48.7% of needed yards
Kregg Lumpkin: 45/85... 52.9% of needed yards

What does this tell us? Well, after two weeks, it's clear that Kregg Lumpkin should hold a slight edge over Danny Ware for the starting job. One thing is for sure - Thomas Brown is going to have to work hard if he wants to help this offense like the other two on the ground.

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